I spent last night with wife at the Astoria Crab Festival and didn’t get home until late and never saw
any of the draft coverage on TV. This morning I purposely didn’t read any
scouting reports from the Denver Post or the Broncos official website because
I’ve learned over the years that they almost always talk up the strengths of
players and never the weaknesses. I wanted to have an objective first look at
the players they picked before I engaged in any homerism.
I was happy the Broncos took an interior DL with their first
pick because it was the biggest position of need on the D. I’ve been reading
about Derek Wolfe today and looking
at film. He’s big guy 6’5 295 pounds. His size is certainly not going to be a
factor he has all the size we need. Here’s the NFL.com scouting report on him
and the rest of the players in my blog.
Overview of DL Derek
Wolfe: 2nd Round
Wolfe is a big interior lineman who plays very instinctively
to be a factor in the run game. He is a slow-moving, pedestrian athlete, but
this doesn't define his ability -- he finds other ways to be a factor. He can
get overpowered by double teams and will need to continue to develop his
technique to not be erased when he faces them. Based off his frame and
potential, he has late-round value in the draft.
Strengths
Wolfe is an instinctive player who understands how to engage
a lineman, extend his arms and read the flow of the play to move off his
blocks. He sees screens well and can work off his man to disrupt plays inside.
He can defeat single blocks well and is a decent pass rusher when put in the
right scheme where he can slant and stunt to get in good position.
Weaknesses
Wolfe struggles off the ball to get into his slants. He is a
slow mover and will not blow back any offensive lineman off the ball. He
sometimes relies too heavily on his ability to diagnose, as it appears he is
reading the play so long that blockers negate him. Double teams will give him a
lot of trouble and he is on his back often when faced with them; NFL teams will
see right through that and get an extra hand on him in the run game.
My spin on Wolfe:
I watched his highlight film and was impressed with what I
saw. It was his highlight film so he did show him making sacks, forcing fumbles
and playing well between the tackles. He certainly has great size and strength,
his speed looks average. It must be pointed out he played in a weak Big East
Conference. West Virginia and Cincinnati were the 2 best teams last year so the
strength of the foes Wolfe faced in his career is not up to the level of some
of big conferences.
Everybody says he has a good motor and whatever he lacks in
speed and push maybe this will be the intangible that’ll make him a great
player for the Broncos.
Overview of QB Brock
Osweiler: 2nd Round
Osweiler is an intriguing early-entry prospect out of Arizona State. A good athlete for the position, Osweiler was originally signed to play basketball at Gonzaga before opting to play football at ASU. He has the arm strength to be a first-day pick but hasn't shown the consistency that is characteristic of guys who deserve first-round money.
Strengths
Osweiler has a very deliberate, quick-twitched setup. He
slings the ball naturally, and even though he pats the ball before throwing,
his release is so compact and effective he isn't hindered. His shining asset is
his arm strength; he can hit nearly any NFL-caliber throw at this point in his
career. He is a good leader and looks in control in the huddle and on the
field. He has the pocket presence of a first-day pick and doesn't go down
easily.
Weaknesses
Osweiler had on-the-field judgment issues and isn't reliable
to protect the ball from turnovers. It seems as if he starts to get rolling in
a game, and the more confidence he builds, the more of a gunslinger mentality
he adopts. This severely hinders his play. When under control, early in the
game, he is athletic, accurate, and a good game manager. He is likely a
developmental prospect who could struggle if forced to play early.
My spin of Osweiler
I don’t understand this pick at all. Osweiler is more of a
project than Tebow was. He only had 15 career college starts. His body of work
at ASU is suspect and as the scouting reports says he didn’t play smart in too
many games. The Broncos should have gone for a CB or LB in this spot and
attempted to get a player who could contribute right away on D. He’s definitely
a long term project. The Broncos should have just looked to find a veteran free
agent QB to back up Manning and used the pick for D instead. This one had to be
Elway’s pick.
Overview of RB Ronnie Hillman: 3rd Round
Hillman is an early entry junior to the draft from San Diego State, where he started every game for the Aztecs in the past two years and was first team All-Mountain West. He is a bit undersized but has the speed and quickness to have an immediate impact in the NFL. He likely won't demand the bulk of the carries for an NFL team but is a good "change of pace" guy who does a lot of things well enough to project to make an impact.
Strengths
Hillman relies heavily on his quickness and immediate vision
to find a seam to be an effective runner. He has decent speed for his size, but
his quickness is his biggest asset. He has a natural feel for how to find
daylight and can be patient to wait for a pulling interior lineman to get to
the second level. He has a good burst in a short area to make guys miss, and
has the quickness to be an effective short-yardage back in the NFL.
Weaknesses
Hillman is a very smooth mover but is not very explosive
with the ball in his hands. He likes to feel his way through the line of
scrimmage and usually gets to the second level with ease, but he struggles to
run with power or elusiveness to make defenders miss and really break for a big
gain. He averaged 5.5 yards per carry in his senior year, but those numbers
were a bit skewed thanks to some long runs.
My spin on Hillman:
First of all the guy isn’t 5’9 and 200 pounds, he’s more
like 5’7 or 5’8 and 185 to 190 pounds because as we all know in football height
and weight for smurfs is always exaggerated. He is very small and not that
muscular for his size.
I watched him play a full game against my Wyoming Cowboys last fall. His speed
did impress me in that game. Once he gets to the outside (where his strength
lies) and gets to the second level not many guys will catch him. I can’t say I
know if he’s a good pass receiver or not because in that game I don’t remember
it.
Clearly Hillman will be a situational player and not an
every down type RB for the Broncos. He isn’t going to be an inside the tackles
runner. He may come in on 3rd down and catch passes on short screens. He won’t
be an effective blocking back because of his size. Doug Martin from BS was the second best RB with size in the draft
and the Broncos couldn’t get him. In the RB rankings Hillman was ranked 10th on
most boards so it’s not really a certainty that Hillman will be a big
contributor for the Broncos offense other than as a small role player.
In the 4th round the Broncos took Omar Bolden a 5’10 202 pound CB from Arizona State and Philip Blake a 6-3 311-pound C from
Baylor. In the 5th round they took Malik Jackson a 6’4 284 pound DT from
Tennessee. In the 6th they took Danny
Trevathan a 6’ 237 OLB from Kentucky.
Bolden has a knee injury he must overcome. Blake looks to be
the best late round pick the Broncos got because he may be able to be a backup
Tackle as well as a Center. Jackson is a situational DE and Trevathan while he
looked as though he was a great tackler at Kentucky is way too small to be a
starting outside LB. He’ll probably play special teams.
In short I’m disappointed the Broncos didn’t go for LB or a
CB or even a Safety with the second pick in the second round. The Osweiler pick
had to be an Elway invention. Fox surely didn’t want this pick but since Osweiler
is supposed to have the best arm strength in the draft, so Elway won out.
The Broncos didn’t
draft a WR and Hillman may contribute as a 3rd down back but the Broncos didn’t
really improve themselves with any offensive skill players. Maybe Hillman can
but he's such a smurf you have to question how good his durability will be in
the NFL.
My prediction is
Wolfe, Blake and Hillman may be the only guys who make the team by the time
they break camp. Osweiler won’t have to prove much, it’s clear he’s a project
so he’ll have a spot no matter how he plays. Until the preseason camps I guess
there’s not much to add. Let’s hope some of these guys can help us get to the
next level.
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